Webb16 maj 2024 · AR6: Shared Socio-Economic Pathways Make Climate Models Increasingly Redundant. Climate models were supposedly the future of climate change research. Their use heralded a new golden age of scientific understanding according to former Met Office chief scientist Dame Julia Slingo: I think today the incredible complexity and power and … WebbThe Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview, Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, Pages 153-168, 2024, ISSN 0959-3780, DOI: 110.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, …
Webb29 aug. 2024 · Scenarios have been recognised as a useful tool for planning, which have resulted in a strong increase in the number of (multi-scale) scenarios in climate change research. This paper addresses the need for methodological progress and testing of conceptual considerations, by extending the global shared socio-economic pathways … WebbThis study explores the critical notion of how feasible it is to achieve long-term mitigation goals to limit global temperature change. It uses a model inter-comparison of three integrated assessment models (TIAM-Grantham, MESSAGE-GLOBIOM and WITCH) harmonized for socio-economic growth drivers using one of the new shared socio … small christmas trees with snow
Climate Change Policy Implications of Sustainable Development Pathways …
Webb30 mars 2024 · 共享社会经济路径(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, SSPs)是新一代气候变化情景的重要组成部分。 SSPs 从提 出至今已有 10 年的发展,对于推动气候变化预估与影响研究、支撑气候政策决策的作用逐渐凸显。 文中基于 179 篇主 题检索文献分析了 SSPs 发展和应用的进展,以及在当前气候变化研究中的应用特点。 研究发现,次国家和 … WebbSocio-economic scenarios Future water use Socio economic scenarios: Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP) Total GDP (trillion USD) Population (billion person) 2000 2050 2000 20502100 15 5 10 500 100 300 700 % ℃ SSP Description of the world SSP1 Sustainability SSP2 Middle of the Road SSP3 Fragmentation SSP4 Inequity SSP5 … Webbthe IPCC has developed a framework in which the relevant pathways are representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) (Moss et al., 2010). These can be combined, along with shared policy assumptions (SPAs) and sometimes projected climate change, to construct scenarios. In this way these different … small christmas tree template printable